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Archive for February, 2008

Israel Vazquez vs Rafael Marquez III: Final Confrontation – Prediction

Posted by beeshabo on February 25, 2008

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Here we go again, this Saturday (March 1st) Israel Vazquez and Rafael Marquez will go at it for the third and final time when they battle for the WBC Super Bantamweight Championship. Their first two bouts were epic, bloody battles of two warriors, non stop two way action of skill and will, both gave just as good as they got, from the opening bell of their first bout, it was immediately obvious that they were evenly matched in every way, hard punching technical fighters with gladiator spirits. In the first fight, Marquez came out on top, he established his rhythm from the first round on, breaking Vazquez’s nose, and that ultimately was the reason Vazquez claimed to have quit, but no one can argue the decision of such a great fighter, Vazquez was clearly bothered by his severely broken nose. Although I believe Vazquez’s injury was enough to throw off his game plan, it was amazing to see Marquez execute his, with perfect timing and accurate punching, Vazquez had no answer for the bombs Marquez was landing. Yet the bout almost came to an end in round three when Marquez backed up leaving his right hand low, that enabled Vazquez to uncurl his vicious left hook that dropped Marquez, but up he got in a few seconds to finish the round. The fight continued in heart pumping action, but it was Marquez inflicting all the damage on the injured Vazquez, and after round 7 Vazquez was unable to continue.

 

In the rematch, it was Vazquez who hunted a fading Marquez, in round three Vazquez caught Marquez with another solid left hook that rattled Marquez, but he battled back and stood on his feet, they fired at each other, back and forth, never letting up. After round three, you could see a huge change in the fight, Marquez was fighting on instinct, he was being backed up, he wasn’t jabbing, constantly throwing punches off his back foot, thus giving away power, and Vazquez continued to march forward applying steady strategic pressure. After 5 grueling rounds, Marquez took another clean shot to the jaw in round 6 and down he went, he got up on very shaky legs, although he was obviously hurt, Marquez fought back, throwing punches, but his back was against the ropes and Vazquez smelled knock out, while stumbling back with his hands held high, Marquez failed to punch back and the fight was stopped. Many argued the stoppage, but the bottom line was Marquez had nothing left, he wasn’t punching back, and his legs were gone, a clear TKO win for Vazquez in my eyes.

 

Now, a little under seven months after their awesome rematch, they will be back at it again, both men promising a knockout, both want to give the fans a great fight, and both have always delivered, What will happen?

 

I believe that either fighter can come out victorious, but it all comes down to who can impose their strategy?, who can execute?, who will land the harder shots?

 

 

Keys to Victory For Israel Vazquez:

Make it a fight- Vazquez must push for a brawl, it will work in his favor if he can get Marquez to mix it up. As Vazquez did in both fights, going to war will give him more chances to land that left hook that worked so well for him.
Apply Pressure-
Keep Marquez on his heels, don’t allow him to get into a rhythm, take him out of his comfort zone, press forward and throw punches, land wherever possible.
Stay Close-
Fighting at a distance puts Vazquez at a disadvantage. As it showed in the first two fights, Marquez has a tremendous jab, and great counter punching abilities, he can make you pay if you miss, and overall, Marquez is the better boxer, so Vazquez must get close and rip Marquez with short compact punches, the closer they are,
the more accurate Vazquez will be.
Head Movement-
Use it, and use it often, even though Vazquez proved to be the harder puncher, he still must use head movement to avoid Marquez’s jabs and hooks.
Double Jab-
Marquez has the better jab, no question, but Vazquez has a decent one, if he can throw a double jab, that will allow him to get in close, and that’s where he wants to be.
*If in fact Vazquez wins, it will come by way of knockout within 9 rounds, I’m not so sure he can Out Box Marquez through 12 rounds.

 

 

Keys to Victory For Rafael Marquez:

Box- As he did beautifully in the first fight, Marquez used his boxing ability to disrupt Vazquez’s offense, a solid jab followed by a fast strong combination.
Go To The Body-
Both are excellent body punchers, Vazquez used a more stable body attack then Marquez did, but if Marquez can land to the body early, that will help him to slow down Vazquez who will attempt to come on strong in the end.
Jab-
Jab, and jab often, this will set up his power shots, he used an assertive jab to break the nose of Vazquez in their first fight.
*Although Vazquez made the second fight a bit more one-sided, I still think Marquez has less to correct in order to come out on top. It is hard to imagine this fight going the distance, I see another TKO ending, if Marquez wins via KO or TKO, it will be within 11 rounds.

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Israel Vazquez vs Rafael Marquez I & II: Watch Now!!

Posted by beeshabo on February 25, 2008

On Saturday March 1st….there is going to be the best rubber-match in recent boxing history, since the late Diego Corrales beat Jose Luis Castillo via TKO after being down twice and nearly out. The first two fights were breath taking, amazing, full of skill and will…….and we expect the same thing in their 3rd and “Final Confrontation”

Israel Vazquez vs Rafael Marquez I & II Watch!!

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Kelly Pavlik vs Jermain Taylor II : Prediction

Posted by beeshabo on February 15, 2008

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Once again, a little under 5 months after their first epic battle, Jermain Taylor will attempt to avenge his only prefessional loss when he takes on the first man to beat him, Kelly “The Ghost” Pavlik. The first fight was a throwback fight, definitely a Middleweight fight that will be talked about for years to come, both men landed their shots, both tasted the canvas, but one rose from the near knockout loss to win in amazing fashion. Kelly Pavlik is a strong lean hard hitting force that comes into every bout ready to fight, he proved his heart, determination, and will to win by stopping Taylor after having nearly been knocked out himself early in round 2. What will Jermain have left mentally the second time around?

I believe that this fight is going to be more mental game for Jermain, how will he react when Pavlik begins to hunt him down and land that big right hand? Although Taylor landed his share of significant punches (that nearly ended the fight), it wasn’t enough to discourage the game Pavlik, after being down and almost out, Pavlik still came forward hammering away. What does Taylor have to do different?

Well if you watched the first fight, Taylor had a lot of diffictultly, he spent most of the bout fighting off his back foot, when his feet are planted and he can throw more aggresively, he’s much more effective and accurate. In the first fight, he spent a lot of time backing up, thus giving away his punching power, it was Pavlik who was coming forward with leverage on his punches, firing off a double jab, followed by a straight right. Taylor’s best round (round 2) climaxed when he used effective aggression to nail Pavlik with a right hand, but when he had Pavlik hurt, he didn’t find openings and pick his shots as he should have, he wasted tons of energy throwing wild heavy shots. Taylor had his chance, and he passed it up by using instinct instead of strategic boxing skills to get the job done.

Jermain Taylor has a lot to prove, will he show us the champion heart that he’s lacked in his last 4 fights before batteling with the strong Pavlik?? Its a mental game now, Taylor must overcome the negativity he has floating around in his head, What went wrong? What must be done?

Jermain has great speed and natural talent, if he uses skills instead of instinct he will go far in this fight, he fought well even while being backed up, but asserting himself and using lateral movement to pin point his shots will only do him good, he must avoid standing right infront of Pavlik, keep his left hand up, and throw a strong jab followed by a 2-3 punch combo. If Taylor can usie his boxing skills and stay clear of a brawl, he can easily win by a UD.

As for Pavlik, he has less to worry about, although being over confident will spell disaster, he must use his reach and jab to keep Taylor going back (it worked extremely well in the first fight), the old fashion (yet effective) 1-2 combo is the key to victory for him, use it often, and commit when given the openings. Don’t expect to see Pavlik drop his hands in a macho manner as he did in the first fight, he knows that Taylor can punch, so Pavlik will fight a very good tactical fight for as long as it lasts, not exaclty sure that this fight will end in a KO, but it’ll definitely produce fireworks.

Although Pavlik has the Mental and Punching Power advantages, Taylor still has great skills, he cannot be counted out, all it takes is one punch, and as much as he was hurt in the first fight, so was Pavlik. Both showed great determination, and we expect the same this Saturday night

I see a close yet Unanimous Descision for Pavlik, but Taylor has a good chance of avenging his loss, but Pavlik can change the fight with one punch, so a KO is not far fetch.

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