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Archive for April, 2008

Hopkins vs Calzaghe: Prediction

Posted by beeshabo on April 18, 2008

This Saturday, April 19th, Bernard Hopkins and Joe Calzaghe will square off in one of the most highly anticipated showdowns (of the higher weight classes) of 2008. Okay, there is already so much talk about this fight, I’ve heard that Calzaghe has no chance to Hopkins will be outworked by the Welsh Fighter, let’s face it, neither man has ever seen what he’s about to see come Saturday night, they’re both in a league of their own. Both are extremely accomplished fighter’s, Hopkins is the best Middleweight of the last 20 years, while on the other side of the ocean stands Calzaghe, the best Super Middleweight in the history of that division, so when these two men fight each other at the 175lb Light Heavyweight limit, What will happen? Well here’s what I think……

This is a very tough fight to call, both men posses great skills, and both can be unpredictable, I don’t see a scenario where either man is outclassed or dominated by the other. I will list my keys to victory for both champions as I believe both have a good chance of winning.

Hopkins: Keys to Victory

Box – Early in his career, Hopkins was more of a fighter, he liked to mix it up, but as his knowledge and experience grew, he became more conservative and learned to adapt and use his wisdom to bend the rules in his favor, he must use these strategic tricks to frustrate Calzaghe. Use angles, lead rights and lefts, tie up the Welshmen, be “dirty” (as Hopkins is considered to be) and get Calzaghe off his rhythm.

Start Fast – Hopkins cannot hold back in the early going, Calzaghe produces an incredible work rate and throws a lot of punches, if Hopkins starts slow, he may find himself playing “Catch-up” down the stretch where his aging body may betray him.

Get Inside – Calzaghe has a long reach, and knows how to use it, Hopkins must get passed that and take away Calzaghe’s advantage on the outside, by getting close, he will enable himself to engage on the inside where we all know he can be more successful.

Keep Hands High – Calzaghe is known for his fast hands and patented flurries, Hopkins must keep his hands high to protect himself from the barrage of punches Calzaghe is accustomed to throwing, then he can counter with his own stunning right hand.

Calzaghe: Keys to Victory

Do Not Wait – So many times before, we’ve seen fighters wait around to see what Hopkins will do, giving the Executioner an advantage, waiting on Hopkins only helps him set traps and use his experience to get his foe. Calzaghe must go after him, from the “git-go”, circle, bang away, let his hands go, and whatever…he must not WAIT.

Work – Calzaghe needs to be Calzaghe, throw punches, outwork Hopkins, keep up the pace and test those 43 year old legs.

Step Left – Out of all the weaponry Hopkins is equipped with, Calzaghe really on has one punch to be very weary of, and that is Hopkins’ right hand, it’s strong, he conceals is well, and it’ll hurt Calzaghe if he’s not careful, Joe must circle left, away from the right.

Overall, I think this will be an interesting fight, I’d hate to be one of the Judges on this night because this will be a close and competitive fight. I believe it will start slow, and eventually get better as the fight progresses and the fighters get comfortable. I cannot wait, but I’m having a hard time picking a winner, yet I can tell you that I will be rooting for Calzaghe – ALL THE WAY!!

Here is a poll (courtesy of ESPN.com)

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April 12th Fight Night Predictions:

Posted by beeshabo on April 11, 2008

Miguel Cotto vs Alfonso Gomez

This Saturday, welterweight king Miguel Cotto faces the strong and willing Alfonso Gomez of “The Contender” TV series. This is Miguel’s first fight after a close win over former champ Sugar Shane Mosley in November of last year. Everyone in the boxing world dreams of the day when Floyd “Money” Mayweather steps up to face the Puerto Rican Star, but according to Floyd, Cotto has yet to establish himself as a main PPV attraction – what a load of BULL.
Meanwhile, Cotto just keeps racking up victories, continuously beating whoever Top Rank puts in front of him, ducking NO ONE.

On fight night, Cotto will be by far the better man in the ring, but make no mistake about the gutsy Gomez, he’s coming to fight, he’s coming to win, and Cotto cannot get lazy or over confident, that can be a mistake. But not to worry, as Cotto trains very well for every fight, claiming to train the same no matter who the opponent, and that does not help Gomez. Cotto is never over confident, nor seems out of focus, he has a strong will to win, and possess great boxing skills (that are getting better and better). Gomez is a good fighter, I like his style, he’s strong, hungry for a title, and he adapts well in the ring, but he’ll be sharing the squared circle with the best Welterweight in the world (IMO), Miguel Cotto, the human wrecking ball.

Here is how I see it playing out:

As of recently, Cotto has been starting fairly slow, but that only helps him to make (if any) adjustments, he’ll use the first two rounds to see what Gomez has to offer, jabbing at the taller Gomez to pin point the direction of his punishing offense. The only thing I see Cotto having to be weary of, is Gomez’s right hand, Cotto is very easy to hit with them, he does not roll them as well as he does other punches, and Gomez possess a decent one. Look for Cotto to box early, then come on very strong in the middle rounds once he’s comfortable. Gomez should not elect to trade, he should box, engaging in heated exchanges will leave him at a disadvantage, as Cotto is faster, and hits much harder. The first 3-4 rounds can be envisioned as somewhat competitive, but I believe Cotto will dominate the later rounds (6-9) and should win a decision. I know many think that Cotto can/should KO Gomez, but one must understand, that Gomez is strong, he’s a pretty big Welterweight with a good chin and a huge heart. If in fact Cotto does pull off a KO win, it will come between rounds 9-11, otherwise I see a Unanimous Decision
victory for the Puerto Rican.

Kermit Cintron vs Antonio Margarito II

I love to watch Cotto fight, he’s one of my favorite boxers (of all time), but he should be the opening bout for this fight, Cintron vs Margarito II, this is the one I cannot wait to see, the long awaited rematch of two punchers in the Welterweight Division.

In their first fight, Margarito showed poise, power and skills by stopping the under trained Cintron in five one-sided rounds. Even though Margarito took the fight to Cintron, backing him up and landing at will, I believe that Cintron’s performance was underlined by out of ring distractions. Statements after the fight with Margarito that Cintron had a bad training camp, and a hand surgery disrupted his focus, so he entered the ring unprepared, and I believe it (to a degree). Boxing is a dangerous sport, it requires a special person to choose the path of a boxer, to engage in bloody battles and take punishing blows to the head and body. In order for one to be at their best, they must be 100%, mentally and physically. You can’t expect a person to compete in a boxing match when lacking Focus, Mental Health or Physical Health, when any human being enters that ring unprepared in any way, it will show, even the elite fighters (and undefeated) of today can and probably have experienced this, and I believe that Cintron was NOT 100% in his first fight with Margarito.

After winning the WBO Championship by defeating Cintron in April of 2005, Margarito went on to make two title defenses (against Manuel Gomez and Joshua Clottey) before losing the WBO to Paul Williams in July of last year. Margarito returned to the ring to score a TKO victory over Golden Johnson in the first round to earn an IBF title shot that is currently held by Cintron. After his loss to Margarito, Cintron has done a good job by disposing of lesser opponents in devastating fashion, knocking out every opponent since his first and only professional loss to Margarito, so you can’t count Cintron out.

This is actually a fairly easy fight to call for me, it’s two punchers battleing it out, only one possess better boxing skills than the other, and that’s Margarito, and that simple fact will be the reason Margarito walks away with the victory (easy as that). Kermit Cintron has great power, fight changing power at that, but he lacks the skills that Margarito has, and that leaves Cintron needing to KO Margarito or have multiple knockdowns to win (IMO). In their first meeting, Cintron landed vicious shots to the chin of Margarito, but Margarito appread unfazed by Cintron’s power, and that discouraged Cintron, and it will be the same this time around. Margarito will force a war, and Kermit will oblige, but it will Margarito who lands the harder shots, and Cintron will hit the deck, again. KO victory for Margarito (within 8 rounds).

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