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Archive for September, 2008

Mosley vs Mayorga: Prediction

Posted by beeshabo on September 26, 2008

On Saturday September 27, boxing superstar Sugar Shane Mosley takes on Nicaraguan brawler Ricardo Mayorga it what seems to be a fairly interesting match-up, Boxer vs Brawler. So, Who wins?

Well, we all know why Sugar Shane Mosley is facing Mayorga, just to get us thinking that he’s facing a dangerous puncher, that he’s not lost the willingness to face such a fighter, Yeah Whatever!! But to be honest, this fight hardly makes any sense, Mayorga has already been thrashed by hard hitting Felix Trinidad, and was iced in 6 rounds against the Golden Boy, and now Mosley wants a piece? Or just a confidence builder?

Let’s be honest, Mosley hasn’t looked that great in his last few fights, he struggled a bit with a washed up Vargas in their first fight, but came back to score a somewhat impressive knockout out in the rematch. Mosley then faced slick southpaw Luis Collazo in what to me was a boring fight, Mosley looked “Okay”, but not impressive, sure he looked fast, but Collazo is no Speedy Gonzalez. Then Mosley took on the always exciting, Miguel Cotto in what turned out to be a GREAT fight, Mosley looked good, but it was shocking to see him technically out boxed by the slower Cotto, surely not the fighter he used to be, Mosley clearly lost one of the biggest fights of his career, and now he faces a wild swinging tough guy.

Okay, Ricardo Mayorga is best known for not only beating, but knocking out the man who was the first to beat Mosley, he goes by the name of “The Viper”, Vernon Forrest. This was a time when Forrest was considered a star on the rise, having floored Mosely in route to winning the biggest fight on his career, then proving himself again in the rematch. But up against Mayorga, Forrest was no match, Mayorga came out strong, winging away with both hands, engaging Forrest and pressing the action, Forrest typically a boxer decided to fight, and that was his mistake, he was caught with a titanic right hand that put him down, Forrest never recovered. In the rematch, Forrest decided to box and stick to the game plan, well, Mayorga flipped the switch and decided to do the same, he boxed, and boxed well, beating Forrest at his own game, earning himself a well deserved points victory, these fights are the highlights of Mayorga’s career till this day, but at this stage in his career, can he beat or make it a competitive fight with a fighter like Mosley? We shall see.

This should be a very interesting fight, I enjoy watching both, Mosley with his speed and bouncy footwork, and Mayorga with his helicopter type attack, it should be a sanctioned street fight (hopefully =)

I’ve been reading articles, watching the press conference videos, and Mayorga looks to be in pretty good shape, so I don’t think Mosley will get in there and attempt to bang with the guy, regardless of Mayora’s wide punches that are often seen coming, there is a still chance one can land, and that’s a risk Mosley should not be willing to take. I think Mosley will box and pick his shots, that’s where he’ll have more success, picking Mayorga apart as he comes forward. Mayorga will do what he always does, he’ll come forward and bomb away, it will be surprising if he attempts to box with Mosley right of the bat, that’s often something he’ll resort to if his typical style fails him.

I see a close fight coming into the middle rounds, but Mosley will pick up the pace in the second half of the fight to win a decision. But watch out for Mayorga’s right hand, it can do some damage.

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September 13th Predictions: Casamayor vs Marquez & Campbell vs Guzman

Posted by beeshabo on September 12, 2008

Tomorrow brings a good night for Boxing fans with two great Lightweight main events on two different networks, Showtime brings us Lightweight Champion Nate Campbell defending his titles against the quick Joan Guzman, and HBO PPV gives us Cuban veteran Joel Casamayor vs Mexican star Juan Manuel Marquez, it’s going to be GREAT! There will be some decent undercards, but I’m a little pressed for time, so I won’t go into them.

Campbell vs Guzman

This is a very interesting matchup for good reason, Nate Campbell is the owner of three Lightweight titles, having been the first man to beat the “Baby Bull” Juan Diaz in what turned out to be a great fight. Then on the other side of the ring we have Joan Guzman, a slick boxer with tremendous hand and foot speed who (in his last fight) beat a strong Humberto Soto to defended the WBO Super Featherweight title. After a Super Featherweight title fight fell through for Guzman, he made a decision to move up to Lightweight to meet and hopefully defeat the heavy handed Campbell.

Prediction:

Okay, this is (like so many others) a very tough fight to call, both men have tremendous talent, and both seem eager to get it on, there have been some bad mouthing and the fighters clearly dislike one and other to this point. So it should be interesting to see how this unfolds.

I for one think that Campbell is a great fighter, very tough and determined, but if he can’t find a way to slow down the quick Guzman, I am sorry to say it will be a frustrating night for the “Galaxy Warrior”. Guzman not only possesses fast hands, but fast feet as well, he moves in and out very sneaky as he unleashes surprisingly fast combinations in the process, he can box going forwards or backwards and knows how to make his opponents miss. The one thing major element Campbell possesses that Guzman does not, is power, Campbell carries knockout power in both fists, in which case makes him dangerous throughout the entire bout, but Campbell must use his ring intelligence to somehow corner Guzman or lure him into a fight in order to make his power punches count.

Over all, this will be good fight, but can easily turn into a boring one with a fighter like Guzman, his “Hit and Run” type style can quickly spoil a fight. I can see this fight going to the cards unless Campbell can land cleanly on the chin of Guzman, Campbell is indeed the bigger man and the harder puncher, but you can’t ever count out a fighter with Guzman’s speed and agility.

I see this one going to the cards with Guzman comfortably ahead, I’m using my brain and not my heart, if I was judging the outcome using my heart, I would have to say Campbell ALL THE WAY, I really want him to put Guzman on his back, but I think it’s going to be a tough night for Campbell, but of course, he too cannot be counted out. Otherwise, I would predict a Unanimous Decision win for Joan Guzman.

Casamayor vs Marquez

Another very interesting matchup, future Hall of Famer Joel Casamayor takes on Juan Manuel Marquez, it’s a Crafty South Paw Boxer vs Technical Boxer Puncher. One of the main reasons this fight is so intriguing is the fact that Marquez will be making his debut at 135lbs when he challenges Casamayor for the “Linear” Lightweight Championship, unlike Pacquiao, Marquez is not moving just searching for another belt, he wants to fight the best, and proving his willingness by taking on the best in the division, Joel Casamayor. The outcome if up in the air, both men can box and both love to fight, Casamayor is a veteran in the sport, and Marquez has recently climbed out of the shadows of his successful countrymen but is looking to rise further to the top. Casamayor is the naturally bigger man, and maybe the more experienced of the two, but Marquez is very tough and determined, it takes a lot to break his will, and when he focused, he operates like a well oiled machine.

Prediction:

Geez, another tough fight to call, I would no doubt be rooting for Marquez, but I’ll be very nervous throughout the entire bout, because Casamayor is very crafty, when he’s motivated, he’s very dangerous, this is a fight Marquez can easily lose if he’s not prepared. Look for a tactical bout for the first half, but towards round 8 and 9, I see a brawl on the rise as both will attempt to hurt the other, it’s going to be a close fight. I think Casamayor’s power will come into play somewhere by half way mark, Marquez showed he’s vulnerable to straight left hand punches, and Casamayor has one of the best at lightweight, if Casamayor lands a straight left in a moment where Marquez is too busy being aggressive, he’ll find himself on the canvas, Marquez must use controlled aggression, test the water before diving in. Casamayor will do WHATEVER it takes to win, that includes reaching into his bag of tricks to frustrate an anxious Marquez, he’ll use headbutts, elbows and even low blows to gain control if he feels he’s being threaten. Marquez must stay on his tows, be energetic yet calm when it heats up, if Marquez can simply box and counterpunch, he can work his way to a close decision win, if he allows Casamayor to fight his type of fight, Marquez will fall behind and attempt to catch up. I see a draw, unless Casamayor can drop Marquez (or vice versa), but still, a fairly winnable fight for the strong Marquez.

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Amir Khan: Was He All Hype After All?

Posted by beeshabo on September 10, 2008

Rising “Star” Amir Khan suffered his first defeat in devastating fashion Saturday, being Knocked out in just 54 seconds of the first round by hard punching Breidis Prescott, he was no match for the determined Columbian who vowed to knock Khan out, and he delivered impressively. I will start off by telling you what I think about Amir Khan, before and after his loss.

First of all, Amir Khan did not strike me as a star, nor a soon to be great Lightweight he was made out to be, sure he was undefeated and fairly exciting to watch, but for a guy who was considered ready for a title shot, Who did he fight? And Who Has he beat? The answer is simple, NO ONE!! I watched a few of his fights, but then Mr. Frank Warren (Khan’s promoter) made a money move to put the untested Khan on junior type PPV events, and that’s when I decided to completely boycott his fights, he was no one, he hasn’t fought anyone nor has beaten anyone, the biggest name on his resume is decision win over Gairy St. Clair, so why would I pay $14.95 to watch him?

In the few fights I’ve seen, Khan looked to have great potential, he used his height (standing 5’ 11”) and boxed very well, unleashing strong combinations after creating openings using his jab. But I also noticed that he was very easy to hit over the top, he would get away with this mainly because his opponents were not at the level to take advantage of his mistakes, but fighters like light punching Willie Limond and tough veteran Michael Gomez were able to make a mark, landing punches that floored Khan, but with only 8 knockouts in 29 wins, why was Willie Limond able to hurt Khan? Well, another simple answer, Khan has a glass jaw, he posses impressive speed and good power, but lacks the strong jaw that is needed to compete at the highest level.

I believe that Khan is talented fighter, but has been formulated with proper match making and press appearances to market him as a “Star”. Beyond the borders of the UK, Khan is virtually unknown, haven’t fought only in the UK, Khan was untested and had yet to be matched with a creditable opponent, he was simply a “Gold Mine” in the making for his promoter Frank Warren.

There were many critics pointing at the fact that the wood-be star Khan had been down against lesser opponents, and would dare him to face a fighter who possessed a punch. Aiming to prove the naysayers wrong, Khan was matched with unknown slugger Breidis Prescott, a lanky banger from Barranquilla Columbia, and like Khan, Prescott was unbeaten in his professional career, having 19 wins with 17 by way of knockout, on paper, Prescott seemed to be a huge threat the UK Star.

From the time the fight was made/signed, there were many articles posted up around the boxing websites about the choice of opponent Frank Warren made for his fighter, but without any facts (except for record) whatsoever about the Columbian fighter.

Writers seemed very quick to write him off, below are some pieces of articles that made me chuckle, these articles were written by an experienced boxing fan and writer, How could he write so ignorantly?

Written by James Slater (8/27/2008) on East Side Boxing.com

“There is little doubt Prescott is hungry and can punch. This will certainly make him dangerous, at least for a few rounds, but when all is said and done, does the man who has only boxed outside his country on two occasions have the skills to defeat as talented a fighter as Khan? Sure, Khan’s chin is looked at as somewhat suspect, and if on September 6th he gets nailed cleanly it could be a big problem, but will Prescott even get near Khan?

With his speed, skill and overall ability – and don’t forget about Khan’s own punching power either – I see the unbeaten lightweight star retaining his unbeaten record in early September. Prescott, as he has made plain, will go all out in an attempt to win, but I see the Colombian walking into something hurtful as he does so.

I go for a Khan win in around six or seven rounds.”

Written by James Slater on East Side Boxing.com

“Yes, the 5’11” Colombian has impressive numbers, with 17 of his 19 wins being KO’s. But take a look at his stats on Box Rec.com, and you will see a number of quite important things. Number 1, Prescott has boxed practically all his pro fights in his home town of Barranquilla in Columbia ( the 25-year-old has two fights to his credit that took place anywhere other than Colombia). Number two, there is not one overly recognizable name on Prescott’s record, and number 3, only six of the puncher’s opponents actually had a winning record.

Add all this up, and the conclusion you come to is one that tells you Khan will be meeting a hard hitter, yes – but a vastly inexperienced one. In short, knocking out guys with 4-5-3, 0-7-0 and 3-23 records is no way to prepare for a fight with as skilful a boxer as Amir Khan. Sure, Khan’s punch resistance has appeared to let him down on occasion and there is always a chance that Prescott could get lucky and land a bomb on his chin, but I doubt this will happen.”

“What we essentially have on September the 6th is a match-up that, at first glance, looks good on paper, but is nothing more than an easily winnable fight for the former Olympic silver medallist and overall amateur standout. Perhaps Khan’s people took this fight as a way to try and prove something to the critics who say Amir cannot take a good shot. The thinking being, that if (when) Khan beats a guy with such a formidable looking KO ratio, he will have shown something. But does it mean all that much beating a veritable novice in the professional ranks?”

When I make an assestment of a fighter and fight, I take EVERYTHING into consideration, not just the fighters record (on paper), but height, reach, background, lifestyle (if possible) and overall demeanor. The writer also called Prescott “A Virtually Unknown”, sure this is correct, but one must remember that Prescott doesn’t have a well known promoter (like Frank Warren) to hype him up, nor the resources to develop himself into a name, fighting strictly off luck and maybe a chance to fight “Somebody”. Thank goodness for Khan’s ignorant trainer Rubio, Prescott got his chance to prove that you don’t necessarily need all the luxuries and money to be hungry and prepare yourself properly.

When I first looked at the fight on paper, sure one could easily pick Amir Khan, but how can one be so sure that Khan is ready for the challenge, Prescott has clearly built his unbeaten status on fighters without a winning record, but Khan has built his fighting taxi drivers and washed up has been’s (no disrespect, just stating the facts), oh, and Khan has been wobbled, hurt and down fighting these fighters also. Willie Limond, Who’s he? Michael Gomez, Who’s he? Gairy St. Clair, okay, but is about 6 years past his prime and lacks the size to compete with the 5’ 11” Khan.

So why would one be so quick to pick Khan to win? That’s easy, they believe in the “Hype”

I for one easily picked Amir Khan to get knocked out somewhere between rounds 2 & 3, I just seen Prescott as too big and too hard of a hitter for the untested Khan, yes, Prescott was also untested, but Khan to me was just a flawed boxer with a good promoter behind him, I never seen “IT” in him, he was too easy it, and clearly did not have a world class chin, not only that, but Khan was somehow ranked in the top ten of huge sanctioning body when in my opinion (among others) he was nowhere near the top ten. I usually write an article on my blog about upcoming fights and I usually write a prediction also, but since I’ve never been a fan of Khan’s, I decided not to, too bad, my prediction would have been spot on.

The Whole 54 Seconds of The Fight: Maybe looking to please, Amir Khan came out fast, jabbing away and attempting to punch downstairs but had little success as the rangy Prescott kept a tight guard and unleashed a beautiful jab that seemed to shake Khan. About 7 seconds after being tagged with the jab, Khan continued circling to his left, attempting an uppercut, Khan was struck by a superb left hook that landed on the temple that badly wobbled him, with rubbery legs, Khan elected to fire back as Prescott landed an amazing right-left combo that sent Khan crashing to the canvas, It was over for Khan. Up in 3 seconds, Khan still very shaky, was out on his feet, after given the mandatory 8 count, Prescott pressed looking for the kill, with another left hook to the chin, Khan was flattened again and there was no coming back, Amir Khan had been knocked out, I KNEW IT!!! Most will say that Khan got caught cold, that it was early in the fight, that he technically didn’t get a change to get into the fight, and blah blah blah. But if you open your eyes, you’ll see that Prescott was just too strong for Amir, I mean, the man wobbled Khan with a jab of all punches, the knock out was inevitable.

So, to answer the main question, Amir Khan: Was He All Hype After All? YES, yes indeed

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Diaz vs Katsidis & Juarez vs Barrios: Prediction(s)

Posted by beeshabo on September 5, 2008

This Saturday, September 6th, HBO will provide what looks to be a great boxing double header, first we have Rocky Juarez vs Jorge “La Hiena” Barrios, and then for the main event, we have Juan “Baby Bull” Diaz vs Michael “The Great” Katsidis.

Should we expect fireworks? I think so…..we have four exciting fighters taking the stage

Juarez vs Barrios, is a boxer puncher vs slugger fight, Juarez typically a bit more technical but posses a superb left hook, then we have Barrios who is a non-stop slugger with stunning power, so….

Who will win?

Well, to be honest, I was never really a fan of Juarez, I usually picked his opponent to win every time he fought, but using my head and not my heart, Juarez is a good boxer with sound technical ability. Juarez is not the average boxer with a rock solid jab and swift combinations, but still a very sturdy and strong fighter, he loves to get in close and he’s willing to work hard to get there, once inside, Juarez can use his short stature and power to get off his left hooks and straight right hands. Barrios on the other hand, doesn’t use technical maneuvers to slay his opponents, but rather more of a steam roll approach, he comes straight forward and attacks with (at times) wild looping punches, although his weaponry is not as sharp as Rocky’s, the punches do carry power and he loves to brawl.

In this fight, I see Juarez’s boxing ability coming into effect as he out boxes and eventually knocks Barrios out. Barrios does have a good chin and big heart, he took some monstrous shots from KO artist Acelino Frietas in their fight back in 2003, Barrios was indeed stopped in the 12th round, but showed great toughness as he dropped Frietas twice before being dropped himself. But what can also happen (and I have witnessed it in the past) is a boxer Juarez being caught and hurt by a more wild power punching foe, like Juarez, Barrios loves to get in close where he can bomb away, and if Rocky doesn’t use a more measured approach when coming in, those wild looping shots can and will land. I believe Barrios is the strongest of the two, but Juarez is no slouch, he’s been in there with some very good fighters and has yet to be broken, look for Rocky’s left hook that he’ll land somewhere around the 8th or 9th to stop the wild Barrios in what seems to be a very interesting match up.

Diaz vs Katsidis, two very energetic fighters with big hearts, Diaz the aggressive pressure fighter, and Katsidis the powerful puncher, so….

Who will win?

Well, seeing as both these men are fighting for the first time after their first professional loss, it’s going to be a pretty tough fight to predict, both coming in well prepared (it seems) and neither fighter wants to lose again. In his fight with veteran Nate Campbell, Diaz’s usual pressure, overwhelming style seemed to lack something, and regardless of what Diaz may say about outer ring distractions being his demise, it is power that he lacks, with only 17 KO’s in 33 bouts, power isn’t a big part of his arsenal, most KO’s seem to come from sheer volume punching and aggression that wear his opponents down. Katsidis on the other hand is indeed a puncher, with 20 KO’s in 23 wins, power is on his side, he looks to pressure and unleash as many power punches as possible, his biggest mistake is lunging in, giving his opponent an easy target, this was exposed by the slick southpaw Joel Casamayor, in that fight, Katsidis lost his focus and lunged in with his hands wide and left a clear opening and Casamayor took advantage with a straight left hand that floored Katsidis. With that being said, I find it hard to believe that Katsidis can land cleanly on the chin of Diaz, mainly because Diaz has good head movement and he keeps his hands high, Katsidis must use a sustained body attack to bring Diaz’s hands down giving him an opening to the head. With his constant pressure and relentless style, Diaz can surely outwork Katsidis to a fairly easy unanimous decision, but if Diaz stands and bangs with Katsidis, he puts himself is a position to be hit and maybe hurt, Diaz must use his jab to measure Katsidis and just do what he does best, and that’s to throw throw and throw some more. Katsidis on the other hand, has to make this an “ugly” fight, get Diaz to fight his fight, to brawl with him and trade. Overall, this should be a good fight, I can’t make a solid prediction, but since I think both can beat the other if they put their mind it to it, all I will say is: If Diaz boxes, he will coast to a decision win, if he stands and bangs, he can be slowed down and hurt by the powerful Katsidis. Now, Katsidis must brawl, hit Diaz to the body as often as possible, then attack the head when those elbow’s of Diaz drop.

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