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Archive for October, 2008

Mijares vs Darchinyan: Prediction

Posted by beeshabo on October 30, 2008

Ooh ooh ooh, Mijares vs Darchinyan, YES!!

Okay guys, we have a hot one on our hands, this Saturday we’ll get to witness a classic Boxer vs Puncher bout of two excellent little men, Vic “Raging Bull” Darchinyan takes on the classy Christian Mijares for the IBF, WBA & WBC Super Flyweight Titles, this should be a great one.

Darchinyan is coming off of a 5th round destruction of baby faced Dimitry Kirilov in what was a dominant performance by the hard hitting Armenian, Vic came out strong and confident, he seemed to tighten up his defense a bit and had wider variety of punches that eventually took out the stubborn Kirilov in dramatic fashion. It seemed that Darchinyan had been working on a few things, he didn’t load up as much and he looked far more calm and relaxed, but his offense was highlighted due to the fact that Kirilov elected to stand right in front of Vic and allowed him to land his bombs, there was no head movement whatsoever by Kirilov, he took Vic’s punches well in the first couple of round, but it was just a matter of time before they took their toll, and they did. It was a sloppy effort by Kirilov, he allowed Darchinyan to set the pace and dictact the action, something Mijares will NOT do, he is much too smart for that, you must box the puncher, not fight him. Christian Mijares is one of Mexico’s greatest pugilists, he’s sharp, quick and slick, he uses angles and his flowing footwork to virtually outclass his opponents, just ask Jorge Arce, who is a strong puncher with an iron will and decent boxing ability, but he (as many others) had no answer for Mijares’ skills.

Darchinyan has great power, but lacks defense and maybe the mentality to slip punches and use counter attacks to take control, he is more of a face first brawler who greatly believes in his power. But due to his stubborn attitude, he sometimes forgets that he’s in a fight and the other man in the ring (other than the referee) can punch back, that was exposed by Nonito Donaire when he brutally KO’d Darchinyan in the 5th round of their fight back in July of 2007. Vic and his camp claim that Vic himself was the reason he was stopped, that he was winding up too much and he got lazy, well, that is the way he always fights, it just took someone to expose it, now it’s time to correct those flaws and remain disciplined in heat of battle, but even with that, will it be enough to beat a fighter like Mijares?

The only way I can see Darchinyan winning this fight is by landing a bomb and catching Mijares flush, but that will be difficult to do against a guy who uses angles and foot speed to avoid punches as Mijares does so graciously, Vic must get close, if he fights from a distance, it will be a long frustrating night, he will be countered continuously. Mijares wants to stay back and keep out of range, he will make Darchinyan miss, attempt a counter and be out of harms way all in one motion, if he decides to stand and fight, he can still getter the better of the two due to head movement and sharp punching, but you won’t see much of that from this little big guy, he is a master boxer who will (I believe) be too much for Darchinyan to handle.

Vic is a strong fighter, he hits hard, he will be in the fight until the end, watch for that right hand Mijares, it’ll getcha if you’re not careful!!

I think Darchinyan will be respected for the first half of the bout, that’s when he’ll be most dangerous, he is definitely a power puncher and will always have that puncher’s chance, but as the fight progresses, Mijares will warm up and begin to take control of the bout, with pure volume and punch accuracy, Mijares will discourage Vic and he will comfortably coast his way to a unanimous decision win.

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The Ghost Buster

Posted by beeshabo on October 30, 2008

On Saturday October 18th, Bernard “The Executioner” Hopkins showed the boxing world why he is one of the best boxers of all time, putting forth a clinical performance to hand Kelly Pavlik his first professional loss, WOW!!.

From the opening bell, Hopkins took immediate control of the action, firing off combinations and landing at will, he was not only beating Pavlik to the punch, but he was actually hurting him, he was busting him up and making him look ameaturish. It was amazing to see this old guy whoop on this young hungry champion, Pavlik had no answer for anything Hopkins did, it was pretty bad, there was a point in the fight where you thought that Hopkins would actually stop Pavlik, it was that bad. Credit to Bernard for taking this fight after so many turned it down, Pavlik is a huge puncher with an iron will, but the only thing Pavlik was allowed to display that night was his will, as he took numerous hard blows by the legend over and over again, but he kept coming forward, never given a chance to land his own punches, the Ghost was dominated.

Since this bout, I’ve been searching my favorite boxing forums, and there are a lot of people turning their backs on Kelly, just after his first defeat, but let’s face it, Pavlik didn’t lose to a nobody, nor a B level fighter, he lost to a living legend, a boxer of many styles, a rugged veteran who knows how to win. Also I see a whole lot from the Hopkins fans, begging that Hopkins be awarded a rematch with the last man to beat him, Joe Calzaghe, and all claim that the outcome would be very different, that if Hopkins would fight Calzaghe in the same style, he would destroy the Welshmen, but I respectfully disagree, and I will tell you why.

Okay, taking nothing away from Hopkins’ effort in his bout with Calzaghe, he made it close and debatable to some, he is without a doubt a great fighter, but he will never beat a man with Calzaghe’s style, it is just not well suited for a boxer like Hopkins. Most fighters are generalized by style, you have the banger’s, the slicksters, the boxers and the technicians. Many fighters do not acquire the all around skills to be considered a complete fighter, with of course the exception of a few, it’s just virtually impossible to have the x-factor and be able to showcase such a wide variety of traits and skill, there usually is a hole in every great fighters game, but it takes a certain style to expose it. Hopkins is the type of fighter that relies on his experience to execute a precise game plan to defeat his foe, if he has a plodding banger coming forward, he usually mutes their offense using his own offense as defense, he doesn’t lay back and let the banger hit him, he uses their aggression against them, as he did to Pavlik and Felix Trinidad, both straight forward brawlers exposed by the crafty Hopkins. Calzaghe on the other hand is a more polished boxer with superior hand speed, he doesn’t come straight forward, but uses a rather large amount of angles and footwork to work around one’s defense, Hopkins knowing that he would not be able to match Calzaghe’s hand speed and punch output, used a more defensive strategy against Calzaghe, simply trying to counter the Welshmen rather than to stand in the center of the ring and let his fists fly, that would only open him up for counters and leads by the quick Clazaghe.

I don’t understand why so many think that a Hopkins victory is easily envisioned in a rematch, it will be the same fight, no way does Hopkins come out and throw that many punches (as he did with Pavlik) against Calzaghe, he’s not that dumb, Calzaghe is fast and packs a decent punch, if in fact Hopkins was to attempt a more offensive approach, I can easily see him getting beat by an even wider margin, Calzaghe is just too good.

Who will Hopkins fight next?

Stay tuned….

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Pavlik vs Hopkins: Prediction

Posted by beeshabo on October 17, 2008

Tomorrow night, future Hall of Famer Bernard “The Executioner” Hopkins will not only take on a young lion in Kelly “The Ghost” Pavlik, but he will be fighting the odds and the critics who say his 43 old body should not be competing at this level, But can he prove everyone wrong?

Over the years, Hopkins has became much more of a survivor than a fighter, he uses more skill than will, and at 43, why would he do anything different? He must preserve himself in each and every bout, I think Hopkins also questions his own abilities, he’s not too sure how he’s going to perform, or if he can actually do enough to win, he seems comfortable making the fights competitive, and along with that, he’s to man, just boring. Hopkins was once the reigning Middle Champ, breaking records on title defenses, but he feels he was never given the type of opportunities that should have came his way, after a long career, Hopkins still fights the best, but not to win, he’s not too worried about that, but does enough to show he’s still here, he does enough to get people thinking about him, he wants to remain in the mouths of the best, and he does.

On the other side of the ring, will be Youngstown’s own Kelly “The Ghost” Pavlik, the current Middleweight king, a blue collared warrior with the strive to tangle with the best, he reminds me of an old fashioned brawler, he wants to stand toe to toe, he wants to fight and knows how to win. As good as Pavlik is, he’s still young and blew up quick, he went from a prospect to a contender to the undisputed Middleweight Champion in the same year (2007). Now with a record of 34 wins and 30 by way of knockout, he attempts to add the name of a legend to his growing list of victims. But can he?

Prediction: Kelly Pavlik is fun to watch, he comes in to fight, he doesn’t run or dance around, he’ll be there and he won’t let you rest. Blessed with tremendous power, Pavlik throws a beautiful left right combo that floats off his shoulders, although that’s his bread and butter, I think he must hold back from throwing that combo as much, Hopkins will use it against him with that sneaky right hand. Hopkins is very crafty, he knows every trick in the book and is never shy to use them, he doesn’t have one punch knockout power, but it’s the way he throws his punches, they hurt because his opponents don’t see them coming (ask Joe Calzaghe). This will make Hopkins dangerous for the first half of the bout, and now with Hopkins having to preserve his energy early for the second half of the fight, he can vulnerable in times when he lays back and attempts to cruise through some rounds, that’s when Pavlik’s pressure can further wear down Hopkins. Kelly is strong, tall and lean, and he fights tall, which is a key element for him in this fight, but, he tends to come straight forward rather than give angles, Hopkins is too experienced to let him get away with it, Pavlik must circle and stay light on his fight to make Hopkins miss.

I see a very slow passed battle for the first few rounds, Pavlik will up the pace around rounds 4 and 5 when Hopkins does less to conserve energy, but Pavlik also can’t get too confident or over anxious, Hopkins knows how to take away a fighters best punch, if Pavlik indeed starts to land the left right, he then must mix it up and not be so predictable. Also, Pavlik must work the body, Hopkins takes a good shot to the chin, but we don’t know much about his 43 year old rib cage. Now for Hopkins to claim victory, he needs to just be him, hit and hold, tie Pavlik up and frustrate him, use that sneaky right hand when Pavlik leans into his punches.

As much as I want Pavlik to win, it’s not guaranteed nor easy, he must be careful in there, old Hopkins can still throw down. I still go with Pavlik via Unanimous Decision. But…but, don’t be surprised if he has to get off the canvas to do so.

I stand by my prediction, but like I said before, and I’ll say it again, this is boxing, anything can happen! Stay tuned.

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October 11th Predictions: Peter vs Klitschko – Dawson vs Tarver

Posted by beeshabo on October 9, 2008

Showtime has fight night for us this Saturday, with an early taping in Berlin of Peter vs Klitschko and then a later bout in Vegas with Dawson vs Tarver, with nothing much going on for me this weekend, I think I’ll be slouched on my couch with a cold brew in my hand.

These are pretty interesting bouts, I’m not a really a fan of either of these fighters to be honest, the only one who interests me a bit is Klitschko, and only because he’s coming back from a very long layoff to fight a current world champion. But, since I’m a huge boxing fan and I’m sure many are buzzing about this Saturday’s bouts, I have chosen to write my predictions on both matches.

Peter vs Klitschko

This is a tough one to call for me, Peter hasn’t impressed me at all, but he’s been winning, and that’s all that matters, only this time he’ll be fighting an experienced taller foe than he’s ever faced, sure he beat veteran James Toney, but that’s irrelevant here as Toney isn’t a really impressive Heavyweight and who also lacks natural size.

With the long layoff and previous injuries that have derailed Klitschko’s attempt at a ring return, I find it hard to believe he will come in and blow away Peter as quickly as he would’ve have 3 years ago, ring rust will be a big issue, and also if he stays healthy in the fight.

I see a methodical yet quick aggressive approach from Peter, knowing that it may take Klitschko a few rounds to warm up, Peter’s best chances to get some work done (a possibly a KO) is early, between rounds 1 and 5 while Klitschko is trying to gain his comfort in the ring. I’m sure Klitschko will be in good shape, he never enters a bout unprepared, but how well will his aging body hold up against a young hungry champion? The rounds will tell. If Klitschko has done his work in the gym and shows up rust free (very doubtful though), he very well can score a vicious KO with that thudding right hand somewhere around the 6-7th round, catching Peter coming in aggressively. I suspect Peter will be gunning for an early KO while Klitschko jabs and stays away, if Peter comes forward and abandons his jab he’ll be countered and knocked out, he must be very cautious and only unleash his bombs when an opening is visible. Klitschko will no doubt be extremely dangerous early, but if he can’t make something happen by rounds 8-9, I think it will be an uphill battle for him.

Overall, a good heavyweight match-up (for now) with either an early KO for Klitschko or an unimpressive Unanimous Decision win for the Nigerian (Peter).

Dawson vs Tarver

Now this fight intrigues me much more than the heavyweight fight, because in this fight, not only do we have an older former/current champion vs a young hungry champion, but Tarver (being the older fighter) has been pretty active, staying busy and has technically been preparing for this fight, and now it’s Showtime. Dawson, has progressed into one of the top Light Heavyweight’s in the division, undefeated and as of his last fight, battle tested, now can he gather all that he’s learned and put it towards beating Antonio Tarver? We shall soon find out.

This I believe will be a chess match until the middle rounds, I suspect both fighters will respect one and other to an extent, but once the feeling out process passes, there will be a boost in activity and a lot of leather swapping. Tarver is typically a slow started, he calmly walks to his opponent and fires off short combinations when in close, but (as of his last fight) I’m just not convinced he can pull the trigger anymore, I think he’ll eat a lot of punches while barely landing any of his own, because Dawson is fast and sharp. Although Tarver has slowed a bit, I’m sure he can bang, the last thing to go on an aging fighter is their power, and Tarver packs a decent punch, that will make him dangerous for most of the fight, but as Dawson breaks him down little by little, Tarver’s chances of scoring a KO will slip away.

I see this as a very competitive fight, and maybe not as crown pleasing as most may think, but it could still produce enough action to keep you watching. Look for the younger Dawson to do just enough to pull out a close victory.

I stand by my predictions, and will admit when I’m wrong, but this is boxing, ANYTHING can happen.

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Kimbo Slice: Another “Hype” Machine??

Posted by beeshabo on October 9, 2008

Internet sensation Kimbo Slice was once a bare knuckle boxer, fighting in backyards, parking lots and random gym’s for money, it didn’t matter where or who, he showed up, and showed up to win. Faster than you can say “Mama said knock you out”, Kimbo went from a fighting to survive, to fighting for pride, because is MMA, that’s what these guys are all about, they dedicate their lives to the sport and they discipline themselves to succeed, they fight for pride, but was Kimbo ready for this?

Kimb with no real background in boxing or MMA, fell into the life, with a huge promotional company and TV network behind him, it looked as though Kimbo would be huge, and he was. Instantly headlining events and rubbing elbows with the best in the business, Kimbo reminded me of a young Mike Tyson (only bigger), he’s tall, tough, rugged, sporting a gold “Grill”, bald head and grizzly beard, he is straight out scary looking. Like Mike, Kimbo is very entertaining to listen to and watch, very comical in his use of slang, and very explosive in the ring, he beats his opponents before they entered the ring by inflicting fear with is very intimidating demeanor.

With the MMA world behind him, Kimbo seemed destined for fame and fortune, but in the eyes of professionals and experts alike, Kimbo would without a doubt find out that it’s a totally different world fighting inside the octagon then fighting in a stranger’s back yard.

With only four fights in MMA, Kimbo was matched with MMA legend Ken Shamrock, a fight in which Kimbo was supposed to win and obtain recognizable name on his resume, but due to a gash suffered in last minute sparring, Shamrock was not cleared by the doctor to participate in the event. With a very distressed look on his face in a pre-fight meeting, Shamrock expressed his feelings on having to pull out of the fight, clearly upset, he stated that he thought Kimbo deserved a beating and he wanted to be the one to do it.

Well, in order to keep the seats filled in the arena, promoters searched for a last minute replacement, without looking very far, Seth Petruzelli who was supposed to fight in a light heavyweight bout, was chosen as the man who would face Kimbo in the main event. With only 12 hours notice, Petruzelli was ready for the challenge, not bothered at all by hype, Petruzelli rose to the occasion and new this was his opportunity to shine.

Standing face to face with Kimbo while receiving last minute instructions by the referee, Petruzelli looked calm and relaxed, Kimbo’s stare down didn’t faze him one bit, and it showed even when the bell rang to begin round one. Kimbo in a slightly crouched position moved in with his hands high, Petruzelli using a karate style leg block, Kimbo rushed in and was caught with a half-cocked right hand that landed on his cheek and down he went, Petruzelli instantly attacked, bombing away, Kimbo dazed and not protecting himself, rolled over on his back, Petruzelli continued to land to the face of Kimbo and the fight was stopped, just 14 seconds in, and it was all over for Kimbo.

Now, after being defeated by a last minute replacement in just 14 seconds, Where does this leave Kimbo Slice? Well, due to his marketing persona, I would say that he should very well bounce back, but I also think he will just become a fighter who everyone wants to fight, he will no longer be the man who many seem to fear. One must think that this loss was a fluke, that Kimbo just got caught cold, he wasn’t prepared for Petruzelli’s style, Well, sorry, but this was bound to happen, sooner than later.

Below is a link to a YouTube video of a bare knuckle fight between Kimbo and some random dude, watch closely, and just 42 seconds into the video, you’ll see Kimbo get hit with a short right hand that drops him, it was a flash knockdown, but still, he definitely felt that punch, so what did one expect to happen once he stepped into the ring with a man trained to punch, trained to fight and hurt you. Surely Kimbo would destroy every guy he met in the streets, but this was against stiffs, random guys without any sort of training, Kimbo lost a non sanctioned street fight to Sean Gannon, a former a former Boston Police officer who trains in MMA, it was a long hard fight, but in the end, Kimbo was flat on his back, exhausted, bloodied and beaten.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7SYZpWp_wCs&feature=related

Watch the Kimbo vs Petruzelli fight in it’s entirety, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5ZxpbtcC8A

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