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Archive for February, 2009

Juan Manuel Marquez vs Juan Diaz: Prediction

Posted by beeshabo on February 27, 2009

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Tomorrow night, Juan Manuel Marquez takes on “The Baby Bull” Juan Diaz in a lightweight championship bout. Marquez became the Lineal Lightweight Champion when he knocked out the rock solid Joel Casamayor back in September of last year, he now attempts to add two more Lightweight belts to his credit by attempting to defeat, the once beaten Juan Diaz.

This should be a very entertaining fight, both men have tremendous boxing skills, both come to perform, and above all, both come to win. In his last outing, Marquez got a chance to win a title in his third weight class when he stepped into the ring against slick southpaw, Joel Casamayor, Marquez looked sensational, he seemed to be a much sturdier fighter at 135lbs, he was stronger, sharper, and by knocking out a fighter who had never been stopped before, he seemed more powerful. Now that Marquez has become the #1 lightweight in the world, he aims to fight the best out there, and that’s exactly what he’ll be getting tomorrow night when he faces the non-stop Juan Diaz. Since losing for the first time in his career to veteran Nate Campbell, Juan Diaz rebounded with an impressive win over hard hitting Michael Katsidis, in that fight, Diaz looked incredible with his offense, and even better with his renewed defense, slipping punches and landing his own, he now looks to become the best lightweight in the world by attempting to dethrone Marquez.

What a tough fight to call, I mean, it’s hard to pick, I really like Marquez in this fight, but Diaz is no slouch, he comes full throttle and he wants this win more than ever. I think both actually have a good shot at winning, like I’ve said in plenty of my past predictions, this fight will come down to who can execute their gameplan and throw the other off his.

Here are my keys to victory for both fighters.

Juan Manuel Marquez:

Use the jab – Diaz is a come forward type of fighter who wants to pressure you, if Marquez wants any shot of winning this one, he must establish his jab and keep it going, an absent jab means a closer Diaz.

Use Angles – Although Juan Diaz himself uses angles very well, he can be thrown off balance by stepping to his side after you fire off a combination, Nate Campbell used this technique, and it served him very well. Marquez can jab – right hand then circle away.

Attack The Body In his fight with Nate Campbell, Diaz seemed to have slowed down a bit after Campbell attacked the body for a few round, Diaz indeed takes a good shot to the head, but he can definitely be weakened if Marquez throws in a body shot every now and then.

Juan Diaz:

Use Pressure – Marquez is a master boxer who loves to control the pace of a bout, that’s when he can set traps and land his punches with better precision, if Diaz can keep the pressure on Marquez, it will keep Marquez from thinking and worried more about staying away.

Stay Busy – Diaz is not known as a power puncher, he’s a fighter who uses and abundance of punches to wear his opponents down, he’s done it in the past to beat good punchers like Acelino Frietas and in his most recent bout with Katsidis. The more time Diaz spends laying back and waiting, the less chance he has of winning.

Box Don’t Brawl – Diaz possess great boxing skills, he’s fast and throws great combinations, but because of his lack of power, he can’t stand and trade with the powerful Marquez, he must stay busy and box. Marquez has the edge in power, by a lot, Diaz must be cautious at all times.

I really can’t say who will be the victor in this bout, all I can say, is it will be a good one. I will be rooting for Marquez ALL the way, but a Diaz win won’t be that surprising.

Stay Tuned……….

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Vic Darchinyan vs Jorge Arce: A Fight of The Year Candidate – Prediction

Posted by beeshabo on February 6, 2009

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It’s almost here, the fight between Vic Darchinyan vs Jore Arce. In a previous entry, I showed my interest in this fight, and it’s just around the corner (tomorrow to be exact)

Tomorrow night in Anaheim California, Vic “Raging Bull” Darchinyan will attempt to defend his Flyweight titles (WBO, WBO & IBF) against the always colorful Jorge “El Travieso” Arce, this feud has been brewing for a couple of years now, and will be (hopefully) a sure fire brawl from start to finish. Both come to fight, both come to win and both want to knock their opponents out.

I’m not going to spend too much time talking about the fighters, but let it be known that although Vic Darchinyan is one strong little man, he is a trash talking villain who never respects his opponents, only he combines loads of power and an awkward style, he can be a nightmare for anyone, including Arce. Since the first time I’ve watched Arce battle in the ring, he’s harbored my attention, he’s a brawler by heart but also possess great boxing skills combined with an iron chin and power in both fists. This will be a fight.

Ever heard the phrase “Styles Make Fights”? if so, you’ll know that it’s exactly the case for this bout, Darchinyan is a hard punching fighter who relies on his natural reflexes and raw power, Arce on the other hand, is sometimes wild but can be methodical in his approach. It’s a case of an Awkward Puncher vs Boxer Puncher. Who wins?

Well, throughout his career, Jorge Arce has been known to engage in wars that find him bruised and bloodied, but because of his huge heart, he welcomes that anytime, he loves to fight, and loves to knock people out. As for Vic Darchinyan, he’s used to being the dictator and has failed when faced with adversity, this coming in the form of a humiliating 5th round TKO loss to Nonito Donaire, but since then, Darchinyan has bounced back with two very impressive KO victories against stiff opposition, being the first flyweight in history to be Undisputed Champion.

I have to be honest, I’m not a big fan of Vic Darchinyan, he’s a little too cocky for my taste, but his skills and power are undeniable, he’s a force in the division, and everyone should take him seriously. In this bout, I will say Arce has the upper hand as far ask “boxing skills” and experience, he’s faced some very good fighters and has passed some serious tests. Both men have been stopped in their respective careers, Darchinyan was KO’d by Nonito Donaire back in July of 2007, and Arce was KO’d by Michael Carbajal back in July of 1999.

Both can win this fight, I think it will come down to who can make the other guy fight their fight. If Arce wants to win this one (a big one at that), he needs to be him, a boxer puncher who can use effective counter punches to catch Darchinyan coming in (the same way Donaire did), and use body shots to setup the big punches upstairs. Vic has the tendency to get lazy at times and defense is not something he remembers very often, although he’s worked on it, he still has holes in his game that Arce can expose. As for Vic, he just needs to box from a distance and make every power punch count, he can’t reach with his punches or lunge in, that will cost him against a fighter like Arce. So, my prediction is, “Whoever Can Make the Other Guy Fight Their Fight” wins. I truly hope Arce can pull this one off, but he must be ware, Darchinyan is a little beast.

Stay tuned………

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